![]() Low tide was fortuitously timed near-maximum surge, but even so, localized coastal flooding occurred in Bay, Gulf, and Franklin Counties. ![]() To form the cone, a set of imaginary circles are placed along the forecast track at the 12, 24, 36, 48, 72, 96, and 120 h positions, where the size of each circle is set so that it encloses 67 of the. Tropical Storm Henri made landfall just after noon near Westerly, Rhode Island, with sustained winds around 50 knots. Joe.įred’s packed punch was most keenly felt on the Forgotten Coast between Panama City Beach and Bald Point, where wind gusts peaked out between 60 to 75 mph and storm surge, highest in western Apalachee Bay, exceeded 4.5 feet. Historical data indicate that the entire 5-day path of the center of the tropical cyclone will remain within the cone about 60-70 of the time. Henri may produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches over southern New England Sunday into Monday, with isolated maximum totals. After reaching hurricane strength, it weakened on Sunday as it moved slowly. Tropical Storm Henri is expected to become a hurricane by Saturday. Fred’s second act over the Gulf of Mexico saw a late intensification to a strong tropical storm with 65 mph sustained winds prior to Monday afternoon landfall south of Port St. Area of tropical-storm-force winds Forecast path Henri developed last Monday off the East Coast of the United States. ![]() That is not to say the slings and arrows of the 2021 hurricane season, including this week’s Tropical Storm Fred, have not been Shakespearean. Conveniently for meteorologists in search of a framing device, the phrase “what’s past is prologue” originates in "The Tempest." And indeed, the tempests of hurricane season occurring before the beautyberries turn purple essentially do amount to an extended prologue: since 1900, around 80% of Florida’s historical hurricane activity occurs after August 20th.
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